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Seasonal Spread
A seasonal spread represents the price difference between two periods of a commodity reflecting predictable seasonal demand or supply variations. In oil markets, gasoline demand typically rises in summer, creating seasonal spreads between crude and refined products.
Traders use seasonal spreads to plan hedges, optimize inventory, and speculate on timing-based price movements. For example, the winter-summer spread in heating oil or gasoline guides refiners in procurement and production scheduling.
Understanding seasonal spreads enables market participants to exploit patterns, manage risk, and improve profitability in both physical and derivative markets.
They are critical tools for forecasting, risk management, and strategic trading aligned with market cycles and consumption patterns.